On the
Conceptual Discrimination among Theory, Model and Hypothesis
There have been proposed many theoretical
trials to explain curious events in the cold fusion phenomenon (CFP) assuming
new ideas independent of knowledge of science developed in 20th century.
In discussion of the CFP, there was ambiguity of concepts of theory, model and
hypothesis that made discussion in confusion in CF community and impossible
communicate with scientists in other research field. We propose here a standard
usage of terminology in relation with historical usage of theory, model and
hypothesis. It should be noticed that the proposal is not obligatory, as a
matter-of-course.
Theory
A theory is a system of logic based on
fundamental principles commonly accepted in modern physics. In the logic of a
theory, there are inevitably included restrictions (approximations) to confine
field of investigation to make the logic tractable. Therefore, validity of a
conclusion obtained in a theory definitely depends on the restrictions (approximations)
assumed in the logical development from principles to conclusion. If the logic
used in a theory is perfect, scientists who believe in the principles will
accept the conclusion of the theory without reservation. BCS theory of
superconductivity is a typical example of the theory.
In the case of such complex systems as
where the CFP occurs, any theoretical task necessarily depends on restrictions
or simplifications of the real system to make the object tractable. We can say
there is no successful theory for the CFP at present because of too complex
situation of the phenomenon where we cannot imagine physics of fundamental
processes in CF material.
It should be noticed two fundamental
principles related with many-particle problems in the CFP. The first is
well-known impossibility of many-particle problems with more than two particles
in classical and quantum mechanics. Any theoretical trial in the CFP is
therefore inevitably approximate and assumptions made in it should be presented
explicitly. The second is the complexity developed in these several decades
which shows uncertainty in prediction of future behavior of such a
many-particle system with nonlinear interaction between component particles as
CF systems.
When we succeeded to deduce a conclusion
not expected from intuition of expert in science, we have to check minutely
conditions assumed and logical processes used in the deduction. It is necessary
to recognize what is the newness included in the logic used in the deduction.
Model
A model is a system of premises (or
assumptions) based on some experimental facts sometimes containing adjustable
parameters. Value of a model is solely in its ability to explain other data
than those composing the basis of the model. If a model is successful, it shows
that the premises (or assumptions) of the model include reality in them even if
the premises (or assumptions) contradict an established principle and can be a
seed to find out a new principle. Bohrfs model of H-atom is a typical example
of the model, which included essence of quantum mechanics.
Even if the logic used to explain facts
successfully is flawless, the model is not necessarily accepted by people who
do not believe in the facts on which the premises of the model based. This
occurred in the history of investigation of the cold fusion phenomenon (CFP).
Hypothesis
A hypothesis or an assumption is a
statement to explain an experimental data, which is not directly (or plainly)
explained by fundamental principles. A statement of a hypothesis may be deduced
from principles or not. In the latter case, the hypothesis may contribute to
find out a new principle as in the case of a model. Planckfs quantum hypothesis
of harmonic oscillator energy is a typical example of the hypothesis played a
decisive role in development of quantum physics.
Sometimes,
there occurs a situation where no dependable principles exist to fit for a
problem. In such a case, new premise(s) (as assumption(s) or hypothesis
(hypotheses) at first) is postulated to explain the problem in hand and the
conclusion of the theory based on the assumed premise is tested by comparison
with experimental data. When the conclusion is consistent with facts, then the
premise is accepted as a new principle of
science and there occurs a revolution of the science. The theory of special
relativity by A. Einstein is a typical example of the theory of this type.
(Based
on Appendix B of H. Kozima, The Science
of the Cold Fusion Phenomenon, Elsevier Science, 2006. ISBN-10:
0-08-045110-1.)