Chapter 1 On
the Beginning – Nine Years of Cold Fusion Research
1.1 Sensational News Overwhelmed
On March 24, 1989, Asahi-shinbun, a Japanese leading
daily newspaper, reported the first news on cold fusion with a headline -
Nuclear fusion in a test tube Success, reported British paper -. The article
read as follows:
The Financial Times, a British business paper, reported on the 23rd,
Two scientists from England and the US, M. Fleischmann and S. Pons successfully
caused nuclear fusion in a test tube by means of electrolysis. Nuclear fusion
is believed to occur only in a super high temperature, super high-pressure
environment and require a gigantic apparatus that could cost hundreds of
billions of yen. If their success
was true, it could provide solutions to energy issues.
This news caused a tremendous excitement among energy researchers and engineers
around the world. Since 1950, the future energy resources became an issue among
industrial nations and how to secure energy resource for industrial as well as household
use beyond the first half of the 21st century had become a pressing agenda. That is why, daily newspapers put up
such a shocking headline as
"10 tons of coal worth of energy from only 30 kilograms of sea
water" (March 25, 1989 Asahi Shinbun) or "Too much heat, melted cathode" (April 7, 1989
Yomiuri Shinbun).
Initially, cold fusion was perceived as the Holy Grail of the energy
issue, and people thought that all the problems would go away. However, things did not go the way they
were expected. Within a year, its existence being questioned, cold fusion was ostracized
from the scientific community and lost almost all the financial support.
Let us take a moment here to examine how the cold fusion research came
to halt momentary.
The major driving force of the research was in the United States
centered especially on Utah. In August 1989, four month after the announcement
by M. Fleischmann and S. Pons, the state of Utah established National Cold
Fusion Institute at University of Utah and sponsored The First International
Conference on Cold Fusion (ICCF1) held at Salt Lake City on March 29 \teido 31,
1990. Mainly the reports by researchers who observed the cold fusion phenomena
were presented there. About 300 people (mostly Americans) participated, and 38
papers were presented. Around that time, researchers at Los Alamos National
Laboratory and other private research institutes conducted serious research and
generated some positive experimental results.
1.2 DOE Report
On the other hand, the US Department of Energy (DOE) formed a panel of scientists to
cross-examine the results by the cold fusion research. The Energy Research Advisory Board (consists
of 22 scientists including a Nobel Prize laureate) played the central role
among the skeptics who tried to examine the cold fusion research under the
microscope.
In November 1989, after six months of investigation, the panel submitted
the final report to DOE (referred
to as "the DOE report", hereafter). The following shows an excerpt
from Executive Summary of the report.
A. Preamble
(Omitted.)
B. Conclusions:
(1) Based on the examination of published reports, reprints, numerous communications
to the Panel and several site visits, the Panel concludes that the experimental
results of excess heat from calorimetric cells reported to date do not present
convincing evidence that useful source of energy will result from the phenomena
attributed to cold fusion.
(2) A major fraction of experimenters making calorimetric measurements,
either with open or closed cells, using Pd cathodes and D2O, report
neither excess heat nor fusion products. Others, however, report excess heat
production and either no fusion products or fusion products at a level well
below that implied by reported heat and reproducibility remain serious
concerns. In no case is the yield of fusion products commensurate with the
claimed excess heat. In cases where tritium is reported, no secondary or
primary nuclear particles are observed, ruling out the known D + D reaction as the
source of tritium.
The Panel concludes that the experiments reported to date do not
present convincing evidence to associate the reported anomalous heat with a
nuclear process.
(3) The early claims of fusion products (neutrons) at very low levels
near background from D2O electrolysis and D2 gas
experiments have no apparent application to the production of useful energy. If
experiments, some employing more sophisticated counter arrangements limits on
the fusion probability for these experiments, at levels well below the initial
positive results. Based on these many negative results and the marginal
statistical significance of reported positive a result the Panel concludes that
the present evidence for the discovery of a new nuclear process termed cold fusion
is not persuasive.
(4) Current understanding of the very extensive literature of
experimental and theoretical results for hydrogen in solids gives no support
for the occurrence of cold fusion in solids. Specifically, no theoretical or
experimental evidence suggests the existence of D - D distances shorter than
that in the molecule D2 or the achievement of confinement pressure
above relatively modest levels. The known behavior of deuterium in solids does
not give any support for the supposition that the fusion probability is
enhanced by the presence of the palladium, titanium, or other elements.
(5) Nuclear fusion at room temperature, of the type discussed in this
report, would be contrary to all understanding gained of nuclear reactions in
the last half century; it would require the invention of an entirely new
nuclear process.
(1) The panel recommends against any special funding for the
investigation of phenomena attributed to cold fusion. Hence, we recommend
against the establishment of special programs or research centers to develop
cold fusion.
(2)- (6) (Abbreviated.) The Panel is sympathetic toward modest support
for carefully focused and cooperative experiments within the present funding
system. (They pointed out specific problems and gave suggestions for research
topics to be pursued: Note by the author).
Experiments reporting fusion products (e.g., neutrons) at a very low
level, if confirmed, are of scientific interest but have no apparent current
application to the production of useful energy. In view of the difficulty of
these experiments, collaborative efforts are encouraged to maximize the
detection efficiencies and to minimize the background.
These conclusions and recommendations helped to eliminate the illusions
such as a nuclear fusion reactor could be build immediately, and cooled down the
heat of patent applications rush. At the same time, they are also responsible
for spreading the notion that the cold fusion research is not a science, and
negatively affecting the public judgment on the research later.
Following these events, the above-mentioned National Cold Fusion
Institute at University of Utah was closed in June 1991 and Dr. Pons left the
University.
The impact of the DOE report extended beyond the American border and
caused a vastly negative impact on the researches around the world and hampered
the progress of the research significantly.
Why did all this happen? It is probably because the phenomenon called
cold fusion could not be explained in the framework of the conventional solid
state and nuclear physics.
Cold fusion occurs in an environment where background radiation (n, Α-ray, ΐ-ray (e)) exists
in an extremely complex system,
where hydrogen isotopes (H, D) are unevenly included in transition metals (Pd,
Ti). Complexity such as chaos and fractal attracted physicistfs attention very
recently. Cold fusion should be
related to such phenomena. Thus it is not easy to predict what kind of physical
phenomena will take place there.
The above-mentioned 6-month investigation by the DOE Energy Research
Advisory Board failed to see through the complexity of the phenomenon and
concluded that the discovery of cold fusion was an illusion.
Let us point out mistakes in the DOE report.
Conclusion (1) is based on Conclusions (2) \teido (5), and it has no
basis if Conclusions (2) \teido (5) are incorrect. The issue of excess heat and
fusion products discussed in Conclusion (2) has significance only when D + D
reaction is assumed as the main process. The majority of the scientists adopted
this assumption at that time, including those who discovered cold fusion.
If there is some other mechanism governing the process, this argument is
no longer valid. If you are searching for truth, whether one assumption made by
a scientist is correct or not has no importance. You should search for the
truth based on the fact that the phenomenon did occur. From this point of view,
we will show, in Chapters 11 and 12, that it is possible to explain the results
of cold fusion experiments without any inconsistency.
Conclusion (3) was based on the fact that the cold fusion phenomenon
presented poor reproducibility. However, the reproducibility of a phenomenon is
determined by the condition of the entire system, in which the process takes
place. Simple analogy from other physical phenomena should not have been used
to draw a conclusion. We will also show the reasons for the poor
reproducibility and the way to improve it in Chapters 11 and 12.
Conclusion (4) only shows that the interpretations of the discoverers
of cold fusion were not appropriate, and it has nothing to do with the truth.
It is hard to believe that board members have made such an elementary mistake.
It was found later that inside solid, such as Pd or Ti, with a combination of
various factors, complex phenomena could occur. There is always such
possibility in science. Today, it is quite obvious to everybody. The board
members might have forgotten for some reason that natural science is build upon
the fact.
Conclusion (5) is similar to Conclusion (4). If any new findings had
been denied only because they were contradiction with the existing knowledge,
there would have been no progress in science and there will not be any progress
in the future.
The discussions expressed in the DOE Report remind us Procrustes' bed.
As Procrustes used his bed as an absolute standard to measure heights of his
captives, the critiques against the cold fusion used \dee - \dee reaction as an
inevitable standard to judge anomalous events.
Today it is our consensus that a paradigm shift is brought about and
subsequent creation of a new science occurs when newly discovered facts are in
contradiction with the existing knowledge and the theoretical framework.
The conclusions drawn in the DOE report were based on non-scientific
thought and biased. Yet, the recommendations hampered the progress of the cold
fusion research and hindered the progress of the science and technology for the
new energy source.
It should be mentioned, however, for the honor of the American scientific
community, that there were some members of the Board who stood by science.
Comment by N.F. Ramsey.
Let us quote from the executive summary of the
report, which was believed to be written by Dr. N.F. Ramsey who won Nobel Prize
in 1989.
"c as a result, it
is difficult convincingly to resolve all cold fusion claims since, for example, any good experiment that fails to find cold fusion
can be discounted as merely not working for unknown reasons.
Likewise the failure of a theory to account for cold fusion can be discounted
on the grounds that the correct explanation and theory has not been provided.
Consequently, with the many contradictory existing claims it is not possible at
this time to state categorically that all the claims for cold fusion have been
convincingly either proved or disproved \tenten "
%
1.3 Cold Fusion - a New Science
Experimental facts on cold fusion have been
accumulated over the past 9 years and there is no doubt that cold fusion
phenomenon exists. There have been observations, in experiments with various
materials, of excess heat, helium, tritium, neutron, gamma ray and nuclear
transmutation (transformation of nucleus to the one with larger or smaller
mass, abbreviated as NT), which can only be explained as a consequence of a
nuclear reaction. The complexity of the processes that produced such various
events was the reason that the advisory board to generate such a negative
recommendation against the cold fusion research.
If you read this book, however, the model that author proposes can
explain those various experimental results consistently and this will be a firm
step towards understanding cold fusion phenomenon.
What is the complexity of the cold fusion phenomenon? How difficult is
it to comprehend this phenomenon in the framework of conventional science? The
author's goal is that by answering these questions, he would like you to see
the wonder of the science of cold fusion. It has been nine years since the
discovery of the phenomenon, even those events in the phenomenon that were most
counter intuitive and hard to comprehend with our common sense the truth arise
by itself as experimental facts accumulated.
He is sure, as you read on; you will find this process of puzzle
solving fun and exciting. After you have read through this book, you should
have a basic understanding of the physics of cold fusion (solid state-nuclear
physics). You should also realize that cold fusion is real and is the total
solution for our future energy needs.
The only resources you need to tap energy out of cold fusion is those
abundant metals such as nickel, titanium, palladium and lithium, and unlimited
supply of hydrogen isotopes (protium and deuterium), we will never have to
worry about using up the resources. The energy can be obtained by a small-scale
power generation facility. This will enable distributed power system and a
"healthier" industrial structure. If we can obtain such a superior
energy source and use it wisely, we will foresee a bright future. Fortunately,
based on the DOE report, the United States government halted the national level
project. Given the tiny energy reserve, Japan should take the initiative and
work towards developing the energy source for the 21st century.
In fact, Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Japan (MITI)
conducted the NHE Project {New Hydrogen Energy Project) for four years with
some success which were presented at ICCF7 held in Vancouver, Canada, on April,
1998. There have appeared several research kits for the excess heat and
radioactivity reduction for lent or for sale by venture businesses in the USA.
This book is structured as follows. Nuclei and their reactions are
explained in Chapters 2 to 4. Those who are familiar with these topics can skip
to Chapter 5. Chapters 5 to 10
talk about experimental facts of cold fusion known up to now. You will see how
meticulously cold fusion has been studied and yielding various results by many
scientists including Fleischmann. Chapters 11 and 12 show that various events
in the cold fusion phenomenon can be explained by a phenomenological model
(TNCF model) proposed by the author.
In Chapter 11, it will be shown that by assuming the existence of just
one parameter \enuenu (the density of the trapped thermal neutron), it is
possible to calculate \enuenu by the experimental data sets, and relationship
between the figures that were obtained by different experiments can be
explained consistently. This kind
of theory is called phenomenological (see Chapter 12, Section 1), even though
it is based on an assumption it is still noteworthy that many experimental
facts can be explained without contradiction. Chapter 12 shows the existence of
captured neutrons, which is the fundamental premise that TNCF model is based,
is consistent with the principles of physics (can be explained qualitatively).
Chapter 13 introduces other major theories that have been proposed.
Chapter 14 provides an overview of cold fusion research situation and
energy issues of mankind in 21st century and the author's thought on science
and society as a cold fusion researcher.
How is a human been in a highly industrial society building on science and
technology? He or she should at least always keep in mind that science is an important
factor of the society.
Postscript in Chapter 15 shows the social aspect of science in relation
to the DOE report. This is intended to be Object Lesson for scientists and readers
who has scientific mind. In Chapter 16, several essays on science and cold fusion
research dedicated on 10th anniversary of this science by true scientists with spirit
and heart are collected.
About the term cold fusion.
As we will see in Chapter 4, the term nuclear
fusion, which is a kind of the nuclear reaction, has a specific definition
in nuclear physics. Nuclear reaction is a phenomenon, in which the momentum or
energy of nuclei or other particles change when they collide with another
nucleus. Among those nuclear
reactions, when the nucleus and the colliding particle (or nucleus) becomes a
new single particle, it is called nuclear fusion. As shown in this book,
the phenomena termed cold fusion include various nuclear reactions and
interactions between ions and electrons. The suggestion that it is not
appropriate to call these phenomena cold fusion has a point.
However, replacing it with the term "Nuclear reactions in
solids", for instance, does not represent all aspects of the so-called
cold fusion phenomenon. This term does not cover interaction between particles and
thermal phenomena in solid, which are certainly contributing to cold fusion. For
these reasons, in this book, we use the term cold fusion to refer to phenomenon
that produces non-chemical (rather than rearrangement of atoms) heat and
nuclear products in solid (see
Chapter 5 for more details). There should be cases where separation of chemical
and non-chemical heat generation is impossible in complex events of the
phenomenon. Even though, it might be possible conceptually to distinguish
them.